Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000293 0.000328 0.000366 0.000410 0.000460 0.000515 0.000581
2024-12-29 0.000226 0.000276 0.000334 0.000409 0.000502 0.000616 0.000764
2025-01-05 0.000194 0.000252 0.000325 0.000426 0.000561 0.000737 0.000989
2025-01-12 0.000164 0.000223 0.000302 0.000416 0.000580 0.000808 0.001155
2025-01-19 0.000137 0.000195 0.000275 0.000396 0.000578 0.000845 0.001275
2025-01-26 0.000124 0.000182 0.000266 0.000400 0.000610 0.000934 0.001484
2025-02-02 0.000117 0.000177 0.000269 0.000419 0.000666 0.001065 0.001778
2025-02-09 0.000105 0.000165 0.000257 0.000415 0.000683 0.001135 0.001979
2025-02-16 0.000098 0.000157 0.000251 0.000418 0.000714 0.001231 0.002240
2025-02-23 0.000089 0.000147 0.000242 0.000414 0.000730 0.001302 0.002465
2025-03-02 0.000083 0.000140 0.000237 0.000417 0.000757 0.001397 0.002751
2025-03-09 0.000077 0.000133 0.000230 0.000417 0.000779 0.001484 0.003034
2025-03-16 0.000069 0.000121 0.000214 0.000397 0.000764 0.001500 0.003179
2025-03-23 0.000065 0.000116 0.000209 0.000399 0.000791 0.001607 0.003545
2025-03-30 0.000062 0.000115 0.000212 0.000416 0.000852 0.001792 0.004127
2025-04-06 0.000057 0.000107 0.000203 0.000407 0.000856 0.001857 0.004434
2025-04-13 0.000052 0.000098 0.000189 0.000387 0.000834 0.001857 0.004581
2025-04-20 0.000049 0.000095 0.000186 0.000391 0.000867 0.001990 0.005097
2025-04-27 0.000048 0.000095 0.000190 0.000410 0.000935 0.002219 0.005920
2025-05-04 0.000045 0.000090 0.000184 0.000405 0.000947 0.002312 0.006381
2025-05-11 0.000043 0.000087 0.000182 0.000409 0.000981 0.002463 0.007047
2025-05-18 0.000040 0.000083 0.000177 0.000405 0.000994 0.002563 0.007579
2025-05-25 0.000038 0.000081 0.000174 0.000407 0.001024 0.002714 0.008307